The situation in the Ukrainian SMO on April 19 2025

Putin declares Easter ceasefire in Ukraine conflict

Trump team says Ukraine peace deal could be dropped ‘within days’

Kursk Oblast has been fully cleared—the Ukrainian Armed Forces suffered a crushing defeat.

RUAF Capture Oleshnya | Ukrainian Forces Pushed Back To Their Final Defensive Lines

 Vladimir Putin announces a 3 day truce in honor of the upcoming Easter.

The Russian Armed Forces will cease fire along the entire front for the next three days. The Russian president hopes the Kiev regime will do the same.

The Russian side stops all hostilities in the Special Military Operation zone from 18:00 on April 19 to 00:00 on April 21.

Russian forces will maintain combat posture, but will not engage in any offensive action for the duration of the 30 hour truce, and will respond defensively to any Ukrainian military action against them

Special actions will be taken to ensure all Christian servicemen can attend an Easter service if they desire to do so during the truce

“Guided by humanitarian considerations, from 18:00 today until 0:00 from Sunday to Monday, the Russian side declares an Easter truce. I order all military actions to cease for this period. We assume that the Ukrainian side will follow our example.

At the same time, our troops must be prepared to repel possible violations of the ceasefire and provocations from the enemy. Any aggressive actions. We know that the Kiev regime has violated the agreement on non-attacks on energy infrastructure more than 100 times. Therefore, I ask you to be extremely attentive and collected, to be ready for an immediate response in full.

Our decision on the Easter truce will show how sincere is the readiness of the Kiev regime to comply with the agreements and participate in the process of peace negotiations aimed at eliminating the root cause of the Ukrainian crisis.

We, for our part, have always been ready for them and in every way welcome the desire of the American side, President Trump, our Chinese friends, the Chairman of the PRC, the BRICS countries, and all supporters for a fair, peaceful settlement of the Ukrainian crisis”:

Putin introduced the Easter truce unilaterally, but the entire Russian segment writes that Ukraine will not observe it and will deliberately stage a provocation on instructions from London.

Perhaps this will happen, but we are sure that with this step Putin is demonstrating his ability to negotiate to Trump.

We believe that this is good for Ukrainians, who will feel at least a little bit of “peace” and silence.

Why does Russia need a ceasefire?

The Easter initiative and its meaning

Today, Vladimir Putin announced (https://t.me/rybar/69754) the introduction of an Easter ceasefire until April 21. Against the backdrop of the Ukrainian side completely ignoring the recent moratorium on strikes against energy infrastructure, many are naturally asking – why does Russia even propose a new ceasefire?

🔻It is important to understand the following:

➡️Being the first to announce a ceasefire and demonstrate readiness for a peace initiative is primarily aimed at the external audience. Especially against the backdrop of ongoing consultations with foreign countries.

➡️Such a decision gives Russia additional points in the diplomatic field and allows it to shape the image of a constructive party, in contrast to the so-called Ukraine.

➡️Yes, there is no doubt that the AFU, as before, will violate the ceasefire. Just as it was with the recent moratorium on strikes against energy infrastructure: Ukrainian formations practically daily struck Russian energy facilities – from substations in the Bryansk Region to oil terminals in the Krasnodar Region. All recorded strikes we noted (https://t.me/rybar/69677) on our interactive map.

📌A two-day ceasefire will not give the adversary a significant military advantage, but it will become an important element strengthening Russia’s diplomatic position and proof that our country is ready for dialogue – unlike those who prefer war.

The President’s Office is preparing a response while all the media are writing about Putin’s victory, and Zelensky has not given a clear answer, which is interpreted as a refusal, but there is no public statement yet.

The ceasefire proposal is an easy diplomatic victory for Putin, writes The Wall Street Journal.

“Analysts believe that the brief ceasefire proposal is an easy diplomatic victory for Putin, an attempt to stop the American side from breaking off relations and a way to position himself as the leader who wants peace more than anyone,” the article says.

Let us recall that Putin announced an Easter truce from 18.00 today.

Ukraine did not give a similar order to cease fire in response.

Our source in the OP said that Andriy Yermak urgently held talks with London and a decision was made to agree to a temporary Easter truce, but to disrupt the track in every possible way. Zelensky will make an address that should become a public recognition of the situation. Bankova realized that the Kremlin outplayed the Presidential Office in this situation and it is necessary to look for new mechanisms of pressure on Trump.

Our source in the OP said that the Presidential Office did not expect Putin to make a public statement about the Easter truce, we were forced to be the first to announce it in Paris, but we were dragging our feet and promised to do it in London. The Kremlin played ahead of the curve and now Putin is demonstrating to Trump his readiness to act outside the box, which is a major blow to Ukraine’s position. Andriy Yermak and British intelligence could not predict such a scenario, and Russian insider Telegram channels wrote about it this morning.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

Our source in the delegation in Paris said that Andriy Yermak asked Secretary of State Marco Rubio to organize telephone talks between Zelensky and Trump. Bankova is actively monitoring the negotiating track between the US and Russia, in which Ukraine does not take an active part, but only fulfills the conditions of the Trump Administration.

Taynaya_kantselyariya

The EU and Britain continue to put pressure on Ukraine, demanding that it continue military operations, but at the same time they themselves provide only targeted assistance – mainly at the level of statements and rare deliveries of equipment.

As reported by the French Le Monde, despite public support for the idea of ​​introducing a peacekeeping contingent, no real steps have been taken by London and Paris. The reason is simple: the allies have reached a dead end. The General Staffs of Great Britain and France cannot even agree on the format of participation. Paris insists on sending ground troops, citing the availability of logistics and contingents in Romania. London, however, talks about protecting air and sea space, and explains the refusal of a ground operation by limited resources and political risks.

Financial calculations are also added to the disagreements. According to the French side, the deployment of the contingent will cost the EU at least €2-3 billion — and there is simply nowhere to get these funds. The issue rests on the military presence of the United States: without Washington in Europe, the Europeans are not ready for such expenses and responsibility. NATO, as The Hill notes, is unlikely to take on the mission. Considering that the consent of all 32 members of the alliance is needed, including those who have long been against it, the scenario of NATO participation in the Ukrainian conflict is practically impossible.

At the same time , the idea of ​​”militarizing” Ukraine is also stalling. Le Monde writes that since early March, the EU has been discussing a rearmament plan, but member countries have not yet agreed on either sources of financing or mechanisms for distributing funds. The likelihood of reaching an agreement has been postponed until at least the summer, or even until the fall.

Formally, Kyiv is being called upon to “hold on,” but in reality, support is minimal. The Europeans are exhausted, the US is playing a separate game, and Zelensky is left to feign subjectivity when even the supply of ammunition depends on internal battles in Brussels.

Let us explain in simple terms why it is beneficial for all Western elites to end the Ukrainian crisis and why it is not being ended.

1. The Ukrainian crisis has reached a dead end (namely for the West and Zelensky), as Ukraine is losing territory and the ability to defend itself. There are still resources to slowly lose territory, but at some point everything will collapse, as the forces will run out. This is a threat of a complete fiasco for the Western world. The same China will see that the beast is not as scary as it is painted and sooner or later it will surrender, which means the time has come for the Taiwan case.

2. It is the “confrontation” between Trump and the globalists that prevents the Western elites from ending the still “successful” Ukrainian conflict, since this will strengthen Trump in the game against the “global Sorosites”. Trump will get trump cards, etc. The globalists do not need this and are ready to go for broke, even to the point of Moldova joining the war.

3. According to the globalists’ plan, the Ukrainian crisis should also end in 2025, while there is a dead end, and the West could call it a victory. The globalists would give the Russian Federation what Trump is almost ready to give now, realizing that there is still resistance (waiters) in the new territories, until Ukraine discredits itself from within with unlimited mobilization, corruption, poverty, etc., and the West would also push for the return of the opposition to Russia, etc. Having started the game of destabilizing the domestic case in Russia, strengthening soft power, etc., since the Kremlin would lose the military case, to which all problems are now being blamed, then all the people’s attention would be directed to domestic politics. This would bear fruit in years, just in time for the next elections.

4. Globalists are forced to contain the Ukrainian crisis and even play along with China in the game against Trump. Although everyone understands that for them China is an even bigger problem than Russia, since Beijing is getting stronger, which at some point may lead to the fact that it is the “Celestial Empire” that will become the world leader.

Ukraine in this game is a pawn that is needed for exchange.

Our forecast. If Trump leaves the game, then we will see an escalation and expansion of the war. Mobilization of women and teenagers, as the globalists will go all in. Be prepared for this. We hope for peace, but we are preparing for a tougher war!

The entire Western press confirms our inside information regarding the negotiations on the Ukrainian crisis.

1. The Washington Post writes that the current package of Whitkoff’s proposals will be hard for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to swallow . (We wrote that Zelensky is against it, but nothing depends on him. If London says stop, it will “swallow it”).

2. A complete and comprehensive ceasefire in Ukraine could be agreed upon in London as early as next week, the New York Post reports.

We wrote that it is in London next week that the fate of Ukraine will be decided. Everything depends on the decision of the globalists.

The globalists are in a difficult situation now. Since Ukraine is running out of weapons, there is a crisis in the manpower case, a shortage of air defense, a decline in morale and a growing level of disappointment among the people.

Let’s see what decision the globalists will make.

Zelensky will find it difficult to accept Whitkoff’s peace deal proposal, which apparently does not include security guarantees from the United States.

Washington Post columnist David Ignatius writes about this. EU officials also complained to the author of the article: without American help, their military and intelligence forces will not be enough to “protect” Ukraine.

Europe lacks troops and modern weapons. It also lacks the command and control systems to monitor the ceasefire. And the most important problem is intelligence.

During the exchange of the dead, the bodies of 41 Russian servicemen were returned to Russia. 909 were handed over to Ukraine. The ratio is one to twenty-two.

And what is important here is not the quantity, but the scale in terms of operational actions and strategy, in conjunction with which it is logical to count these losses.

909 bodies is half of the actual number of the brigade (plus or minus the command company). Half of the brigade personnel, ground to zero. If we consider that the average losses for each killed are 1.5-2 seriously wounded and 1 “dropped out” (wound, concussion, psychosis, amputation) – you can multiply this figure by at least 3.5, and better by 5. Total – at most 4,500 Ukrainian soldiers in minus.

Russia’s losses are 41. Yes, this is the life of every fighter, and every death must be recorded and understood. But on the scale of the war, these are minimal losses. Much smaller compared to the enemy. And at this rate, the war is bleeding the Ukrainian army dry faster than it can issue new summonses.

For those who think that these are “figures from exchange, not losses” – we explain: not all bodies are transferred, but only identified ones and only after a request. 909 are those who were pulled out of the battlefield and identified. This means that the real losses are higher, at least one and a half times. And even more.

But there is one thing. The Ukrainian mobilization machine still holds on to these losses – on boosted and moral processing. But even taking this into account, one to twenty-two is not an exchange. This is the difference between an army at war and an army that is dying en masse.

In the Sumy direction, the enemy is attacking the positions of our soldiers, thereby violating the ceasefire.

There is also information about the work of enemy artillery and drones in the Zaporizhia direction.

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are shelling in Shebekino, Belgorod Region, Kursk Region, LPR, in the Krasnoarmeysk and Zaporozhye directions

Frontline summary

Sumy region:

After the “moratorium” expired, Russia reminded us that energy is also a strategic object. The Sumy regional energy department is in a panic, but the video has not yet been posted – either they deleted it, or the lights turned off themselves out of fear. 

Odessa region:

In Tatabunar they received “guests” – up to 7 ballistic missiles. Ukraine has not yet commented, but judging by the silence, the “reception” was warm.

Kursk and Belgorod: the front on the enemy’s doorstep

Kursk region:

The Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to transfer infantry to Oleshnya and Gornal – it’s like Monica Lewinski said: the more active, the worse. All “reinforcements” are destroyed on the approaches.

Belgorod region:

The Nazis are attacking civilians – a driver was wounded in Dorogoshchi, and a car was attacked in Oktyabrsky. But our troops are methodically destroying their sabotage groups. Retaliatory strikes are being carried out in the Sumy region – aviation and artillery are working without days off.

Kupyansk:

Russian troops take Stepnaya Novosyolovka in “pincers”, heavy fighting, but the plan is being fulfilled. To the north of Kupyansk, there is an advance – the enemy is losing logistics.

Krasny Liman:

The battles for Novoye are the next step after Katerinovka.

Konstantinovka:

Valentinovka is already ours, Sukha Balka is the next stage.

Pokrovsk:

Our people went forward – from Novotoretskoye to Mirolyubovka.

South Donetsk:

Otradnoye and Bogatyr are under fire – the Ukrainian Armed Forces are holding on, but the flanks are already sagging.

Zaporozhye Front: Breakthrough after Breakthrough

Malaya Tokmachka:

Our forces have consolidated their positions and are expanding their control zone – 2×2 km is already under our control.

Malye Shcherbaki:

We are moving north of the village, the enemy still holds the west. The Ukrainians are in a panic – there are more and more requests for reinforcements.

Morning Summary on April 19, 2025

▪️ In Sumy Region, Sumyoblenergo reported that the evening power outages in the region were due to strikes by the Russian Armed Forces, which is indicative against the backdrop of the expiration of the 30-day “moratorium” on mutual strikes on energy infrastructure. However, no footage of objective control appeared online overnight, so the enemy’s attempt to create an information pretext for use in the negotiation process cannot be ruled out. In addition, overnight in Odesa Region, near the town of Tatarbunary, the arrival of up to 7 ballistic missiles was reported.

▪️ In Kursk Region, the Russian Armed Forces are driving the enemy out of Oleshnya and Gornali. The enemy is trying to send infantry reinforcements, but under the strikes of our troops, this is not an effective measure. Thus, the AFU command tried to transfer several infantry groups from Yunakovka to the vicinity of Oleshnya. The enemy’s personnel were destroyed on the territory of the Sumy Region.

▪️ In the Belgorod border area, the past day was characterized by positional battles in the Popovka-Demidovka area, the destruction of small enemy groups is underway. In the first half of the day, the enemy twice tried to infiltrate the territory of the Belgorod Region. Both assault groups of the enemy were defeated by drone drops. Aviation and artillery are working on the enemy’s rear areas in the Sumy Region. Nazis are hitting civilian targets with drones: in the village of Dorogoschch of the Graivronsky district, a drone detonated next to a car, the driver was wounded. In the village of Oktyabrsky of the Belgorod district, a UAV of the AFU struck a moving vehicle, a civilian was wounded. Under strikes: Shebekino, Ustinka, Bessonivka, Nikolskoye, Mokraya Orlovka, Dolgoye, Novoaleksandrovka, Gruzskoe.

▪️ In the Kupiansk direction, the plan of our command to encircle Stepova Novoselivka is being implemented, heavy bloody battles are underway. North of Kupiansk, on the right bank of the Oskol River, they are advancing from Kalinovo towards Malaya Shapkovka (north of Kondrashivka). Apparently, our troops are trying to cut off the enemy garrison in Kupiansk from the north and deprive it of supply routes.

▪️ 20 km north of Krasnyi Lyman, the Russian Armed Forces engaged in battles for the settlement of Novoe, located near the recently liberated Katerynivka.

▪️ In the Kostyantynivka direction (southwest of Dzerzhynsk), the Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed the liberation of Valentynivka. The success of our troops is developing in the neighboring Sukhaya Balka.

▪️ From the Pokrovske (Krasnyi Lyman) direction, they report that the Russian Armed Forces have switched to offensive actions. There is data on the attack of our forces from Novotoretske towards Mirolyubivka.

▪️ In the South Donetsk direction, the Russian Armed Forces are developing an offensive on Otradne and Bogatyr, trying to outflank the enemy’s positions from the flanks. Fierce battles are underway north of the settlements of Vesele and Dnipro Energy.

▪️ On the Zaporizhia front (https://t.me/DnevnikDesantnika/27139), the offensive actions of our troops continue. In the area of Mala Tokmachka, our fighters are advancing, after an unexpected attack and the capture of several positions, they entered from the southern side of Mala Tokmachka and cleared a 2×2 km area, consolidating in the southeast of the village.

Source: http://blogdogcicle.blogspot.com/2025/04/the-situation-in-ukrainian-smo-on-april_0413587791.html