Chicago Bulls: ESPN projects clear winner for Heat Play-In Tournament game

The Chicago Bulls are set to play the Miami Heat in the Play-In Tournament for the third year in a row. The Bulls have trauma to shake off before they host the Heat at the United Center for the chance to play the loser of Tuesday night’s matchup between the Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic.
The Bulls had a one-point lead going into the fourth quarter of their Play-In Tournament matchup with the Heat in 2023 before Miami won the fourth quarter 35-23 to advance to the playoffs with a 102-91 victory at the Kaseya Center.
Again, the Bulls scored 91 points in their matchup in 2024 but didn’t come close to Miami’s 112, also played at the Kaseya Center. The Heat raced out to a 34-17 first-quarter lead. Tyler Herro’s 24 points helped lead a Miami roster missing Jimmy Butler to the playoffs again.
In 2025, the Bulls have the benefit of being at home. They also have been one of the NBA’s hottest teams since March.
The Chicago Bulls’ odds of beating the Heat, per ESPN’s analytics
Per ESPN BET, the Bulls are a 1.5-point favorite to beat the Heat on Wednesday night. ESPN analytics projected a clear winner for the 9th-vs. 10th place contest. Chicago has a 62.5% chance to advance to Friday night’s No. 8 seed game. The Heat have a 37.5% chance.
Those odds could shift depending on Josh Giddey’s availability, as he is battling a forearm injury.
Orlando is a 5.5-point favorite to knock off the Hawks at the Kia Center on Tuesday night. The Magic are projected with a 65.8% chance of beating Atlanta.

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